2026-10-10 07:30 UTC · Every surveyed bookmaker price for this match, averaged and stripped of the margin — fair probabilities that total exactly 100%, draw included.
SkipOdds Index · fair probabilities · 18 books
South Africa51.4%
Draw7.1%
Australia41.5%
Fair odds: South Africa 1.95 · Draw 13.99 · Australia 2.41Bookmaker margin removed: +5.8%
How these numbers work
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. CricketSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match. Tests get three fair numbers because the draw is a real outcome and the books price it.
