2026-10-09 07:30 UTC · Every surveyed bookmaker price for this match, averaged and stripped of the margin — fair probabilities that total exactly 100%, draw included.
SkipOdds Index · fair probabilities · 30 books
South Africa44.5%
Draw9.4%
Australia46.1%
Fair odds: South Africa 2.25 · Draw 10.60 · Australia 2.17Bookmaker margin removed: +6.1%
How these numbers work
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. CricketSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match. Tests get three fair numbers because the draw is a real outcome and the books price it.
