FINAL · Every surveyed bookmaker price for this match, averaged and stripped of the margin — fair probabilities that total exactly 100%, draw included.
SkipOdds Index · fair probabilities · 31 books
South Africa49.0%
Draw7.8%
Australia43.2%
Fair odds: South Africa 2.04 · Draw 12.79 · Australia 2.32Bookmaker margin removed: +6.7%
How these numbers work
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. CricketSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match. Tests get three fair numbers because the draw is a real outcome and the books price it.
