2026-10-28 08:30 UTC · Every surveyed bookmaker price for this match, averaged and stripped of the margin — fair probabilities that total exactly 100%, draw included.
SkipOdds Index · fair probabilities · 19 books
South Africa47.8%
Draw10.6%
Australia41.6%
Fair odds: South Africa 2.09 · Draw 9.46 · Australia 2.40Bookmaker margin removed: +6.0%
How these numbers work
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. CricketSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match. Tests get three fair numbers because the draw is a real outcome and the books price it.
